Senate Republicans told Semafor the Clarity Act looks likely to fail.
Sen. Mike Rounds said the outlook "does not look good right now." Sen. Thom Tillis said that without White House interest in bridging the ethics language, "it is going to fail." Two Democratic aides said there has been little movement on ethics rules covering the president and his family.
Cloture on the motion to proceed is still set for about 2:15 p.m. ET on Tuesday, Sep. 15, and needs 60 votes.
A Polymarket market on Clarity becoming law in 2026 was around 14.5% Yes after those warnings — secondary to the senator quotes, not the lead.
Semafor
